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STATISTICAL WAGER AGAINST SPECIFIC DEITIES

Note: People identity God with their moral system. People keep having different systems. Some even keep changing their core moral ideas. The God word over-simplifies and gives a false impression of agreement.

Premise 1: The fundamental question of existence is a binary choice between theism, the existence of at least one deity, and atheism, the non-existence of all deities.

Premise 2: If theism is correct, the probability of any single, specific version of a deity being the true one is divided among the thousands of proposed deities in human history.

Premise 3: Because the baseline division between theism and atheism is framed as a binary choice, atheism is assigned a fixed 50% probability of being correct.

Conclusion: Therefore, because a 50% probability of no deity existing is vastly higher than the fractional probability of any specific deity existing, betting on atheism is the mathematically superior choice.



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